Forex h4 trading system

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Forex h4 trading system

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Forex h4 Strategies on the Example of “Defile SAR” System

Details Published: 25.07.2014 18:18 Written by Konstantin Fil Category: Trading strategies Hits: 898

Forex h4 strategies are usually built on indicators or the analysis of supply and demand, one of the interpretations of which are different levels, including the Fibonacci. First of all, let us review a simple but effective strategy called “Defile SAR”.

As it has become obvious from the name, this method is based on the standard Parabolic SAR indicator – you should set a step equal to 0.002 in its settings and leave the maximum leave as the default – 0.2. It should be emphasized that the following rules will be valid only for the EUR/USD pair – the other tools will require optimization given the volatility.

So, to buy you need to follow the procedure: first, the sequence of Parabolic SAR points should be broken upwards by the price, and secondly, after the breakdown candle you need to wait for the formation of a rollback in the amount of at least two candles, but the Parabolic should remain in the similar vein in the meantime. The figure below shows an example:

Next, two orders of Buy Stop type are set at a few pips above the high of the breakdown candle. The author recommends placing a take-profit for one order at a distance of 220 pips, and for another – at 330. After achieving the first goal, the stop-loss on the remaining positions is moved to breakeven.

Talking about the stops, the developers recommend them at a fixed value of 150 pips, but an analysis of recent years has shown that it is reasonable to either cut them twice, or place behind the closest strong level. To sell, the rules are diametrically opposed:

Forex h4 strategies at Fibonacci levels

Fibo levels are often used as an additional filter in the indicator systems, so let’s review hot on the trail the modification of the algorithm presented above. After analyzing the history, it can be seen that the attempt to measure the pullback by the number of candles often leads either to missed profits or to false signals, and as a consequence – losses.

Fibonacci levels can significantly reduce the negative consequences of this approach. We shall remind that Forex h4 strategies are focused on the medium term, so it is reasonable to assume that the “market footprint” will be sufficient to use for the last time, in this case – two weeks.

In order to simplify the process, it is recommended to check the box in the working window settings: Properties - General - Show period separators. Further, when building Fibonacci levels, join the minimum and maximum for the current period. It should be noted that the extremes are more important than the closing prices of the candles. The figure below shows an example in the framework of the above system:

Thus, in the reviewed Forex h4 strategies, there is an opportunity to break both the signal to close and open the order into several pieces, because if the first point was false, it remains possible to average the position without overstating the risk. In the opposite case, if the price turned in the desired direction, it is possible to build a pyramid on Fibo levels.

Unfortunately, the original strategy has some drawbacks, the main of which is to optimize strictly for one pair and the inability to transfer algorithm directly to other instruments. This problem can be solved, but requires significant time for collecting statistics, so it is advisable to either find a ready advisor written after the “Defile SAR”, or to build a robot from scratch, taking into account the recommendations concerning the Fibonacci levels.

In conclusion, we would like to note that an important feature of the Forex h4 strategies is stability, because they combine the advantages typical for other timeframes, while specific disadvantages vanish. In particular, the probability of true signal becomes higher than on the “fast” timeframes, and the frequency of their occurrence is much higher than in the daily charts. Source: Dewinforex

Kiss H4 Trading System

Опубліковано по Адмін в Форекс стратегії з 0 Коментарі

1) I use the 4hr chart. I find it’s more reliable ( less noise ) trading the higher timeframes…while still giving you a few good setups each week .

2) Plot a 20 lwma in whatever color you want ( I use magenta ).

3) Use a macd indicator with a histogram. The standard settings and double them. so (24,52,18).

Looking for Trades is as simple as 1-2-3…

1) PRICE ACTION …basically I look to follow the current trend ( higher highs & higher lows = uptrend while lower lows & lower highs = downtrend ) …if the current ( short term ) trend matches up with the pairs overall trend…that’s the best setup. Another thing with price action is just looking for simple candle patterns. engulfing. pinbar. tweezers. etc…that happen at prior support & resistance areas. lastly. just drawing in some simple trendlines and/or channels

2) MOVING AVERAGES …you want to trade at/near the 20 moving average ….the best setup is when you get a Price Action ( PA ) setup and the moving average is heading in the same direction ( up for longs. down for shorts ).

**** the first version of this method had 3 moving averages on the chart…I have since modified and simplified it down to only 1…the 20lwma****

3) MACD HISTOGRAM …you want the macd histogram to be lined up and heading in the same direction as your PA and MA. This helps me see where momentum is going along with the first two guidelines. The best setups are when the histogram is on the correct side of the zero line ( above the zero line for longs and below the zero line for shorts ).

That’s really it…it’s really just 1-2-3…PA. MA. MACD HISTOGRAM. Hopefully I didn’t confuse you too much so far and now lets get to some examples…

Pairs I Use

This method has been tested on GU. EU. EJ. GJ. AU. pairs…I have NOT tested it on any others. And my best results have come from GU. EU. EJ. GJ can get a bit wild at times if you can stomach big swings/drawdown ( I can’t. so I avoid it ). AU is pretty decent. but the first three have been very reliable and I tend to trade them most often. I’ve been watching the UJ too…but this pair is tricky because some weeks it barely moves at all…other weeks it’s great to trade !

Управління капіталом

( word of caution…this is what works for me…please feel free to adjust your Target Prices and Stop-losses for what suits you ).

1) I set an initial emergency stop loss of 100pips in case the market does something weird like surprise news from a country or if you lose power for a while…at least you won’t blow your account .

2) My Target price is set at 75pips for pairs with higher Average Daily Ranges ( GU. EJ. GJ ) and 50pips for pairs with smaller ADR’s ( EU. AU )! I often see price run for 70-100pips or more on good setups…but right now. I’m looking for more consistent winners. This may be adjusted with further forward testing .

3) You should exit your trade on the first candle that closes on the opposite side of your entry candle if your Target Price has not been hit. With the proper entry. your losses should be around 60pips or less .

4) Stay away from HUGE candles…typically you want to enter on candles that are 50pips or less…give or take a few pips .

As you can see. with a proper entry…my risk-reward is roughly 1:1!

Attached below is the template I use for my MT4 charts .

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Источники: mentorduluth.org, www.tcaasansor.com, dewinforex.com, forexmt4indicators.com